tager:
nu - 2.5 - 7.5 (there is a single consistent way to beat nu and that is very very slowly get her near a corner and then guess when she tries to escape it)
arakune 2 - 8 (you ahve to get lucky on clouds to win, and then out play him on top of this)
rachel 3 - 7 (generally bad matchup but you can actually out play her and win)
jin 3 - 7 (same as above, jins air options rape tager)
carl - 1 - 9 (i legitimately do not think this matchup is winnable without divine intervention once you play a carl that can consistently play intelligently and nail clap loop 100% you literally get 2 chances to kill a character with far better mobility and you cant even fucking combo him or use spark bolt outside of a combo)
tao 3.5 - 6.5 (obnoxiously hard matchup, you are never at an advantage in terms of speed and priority, and you both do about equal damage)
litchi - 4 - 6 (shitty mid range fight with staff, once litchi loses her staff the tempo swings to being even)
ragna 4 - 6 (DP and jC are really all ragna has over tager)
noel 4 - 6 (solid options to beat tagers consistently, tager can out guess her though)
bang 4 - 6 (crossups, if tager gets momentum he stands a strong chance of winning, also a matchup where IB -> 720 is actually a consistent option besides litchi and ragna)
hakumen 4.5 - 5.5 (tager cant recklessly attempt to get it and hakumen can maintain mid range until he has mad orbs, but until then hakumen sucks and tager has advatnage close range once hakumen blows orbs)
i formed this opinion from fighting top usa players